Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 5.184055 6.160297 7.243783 8.531742 10.017101 11.672325 13.652278
2025-06-15 3.795270 5.056535 6.596985 8.601455 11.123594 14.173243 18.118969
2025-06-22 2.756251 4.062651 5.796934 8.234212 11.531590 15.792869 21.663230
2025-06-29 2.164893 3.486276 5.371558 8.199803 12.264131 17.810213 25.846513
2025-07-06 1.738546 3.035345 5.009914 8.148800 12.903572 19.702718 29.986829
2025-07-13 1.538350 2.879007 5.036479 8.636756 14.333179 22.796098 36.048383
2025-07-20 1.334554 2.670145 4.935751 8.893057 15.412775 25.444877 41.658217
2025-07-27 1.195913 2.543669 4.941845 9.305648 16.757464 28.582661 48.226538
2025-08-03 1.019395 2.309975 4.721848 9.296542 17.394676 30.645506 53.263176
2025-08-10 0.833942 2.019010 4.349007 8.960044 17.425202 31.708992 56.757407
2025-08-17 0.686676 1.774360 4.021345 8.653722 17.458454 32.753113 60.262615
2025-08-24 0.594536 1.629992 3.866546 8.648509 18.020258 34.719078 65.423361
2025-08-31 0.519037 1.510506 3.749489 8.712203 18.734461 37.039369 71.421359
2025-09-07 0.447185 1.383630 3.596265 8.681698 19.263981 39.070942 77.062897
2025-09-14 0.362105 1.200957 3.286253 8.275866 19.006350 39.634719 80.112812
2025-09-21 0.312127 1.100758 3.150307 8.228345 19.461965 41.554827 85.749980
2025-09-28 0.269193 1.009369 3.019407 8.172465 19.889158 43.443639 91.441823
2025-10-05 0.256773 1.008175 3.116590 8.659843 21.519906 47.790208 102.045795
2025-10-12 0.235318 0.972629 3.117811 8.916060 22.666367 51.247899 111.139964
2025-10-19 0.221854 0.960456 3.180188 9.329327 24.197209 55.577407 122.174709
2025-10-26 0.195018 0.894070 3.080151 9.320105 24.765483 57.969236 129.517817
2025-11-02 0.161983 0.794265 2.864982 8.982821 24.536926 58.679531 133.528342
2025-11-09 0.134910 0.707778 2.672077 8.675800 24.344406 59.442384 137.676029